Bank Indonesia has lowered its 2026 global economic growth forecast to 3.1%, citing escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East that have pushed up crude oil prices and fueled global inflation. These conditions are expected to reduce the room for global monetary easing, potentially delaying cuts to the US Federal Reserve’s benchmark rate. The central bank now anticipates global inflation rising to 4.1%, driven by higher energy costs and continued supply disruptions. It also warns of tightening global financial conditions, reflected in a stronger US dollar, rising US Treasury yields, and capital flows toward safe‑haven assets. Despite the global headwinds, Bank Indonesia maintains its domestic GDP growth outlook at 4.9%–5.7%, noting resilience in the Indonesian economy supported by strong household consumption during major religious holidays and government stimulus disbursements. Governor Perry Warjiyo emphasized the need for tighter coordination between fiscal and monetary authorities to safeguard external stability and sustain growth. The central bank reaffirmed its commitment to synchronized policy measures to mitigate spillover risks from global conflicts and preserve Indonesia’s economic recovery momentum.Source: https://jakartaglobe.id/business/bank-indonesia-cuts-global-growth-outlook-sees-indonesia-gdp-at-4957 (ICE GIACARTA)

Fonte notizia: Jakarta Globe, 17 March 2026